Shravasti District — Critical Hunger Risk Assessment
Executive Summary
Shravasti district has reached critical hunger-risk levels with a composite score of 82/100. Immediate multi-stakeholder intervention is required.
Key Findings
Attendance has declined 18.3% over 6 weeks across all monitored schools
Midday meal participation is at a 12-month low of 49.3%
Local dal prices have surged 24% since March, straining household budgets
Seasonal agricultural labor migration has intensified, impacting child supervision
2 schools report over 30% chronic absenteeism among girls aged 10-14
Recommended Actions
Deploy emergency food rations to Ikauna and Bhinga clusters within 7 days
Activate community kitchen partnerships with Akshaya Patra Foundation
Launch targeted outreach program for migrant worker families
Coordinate with District Magistrate for MGNREGA wage disbursement acceleration
Install real-time attendance tracking in 4 priority schools
Full Analysis
Executive Summary
Shravasti district in Uttar Pradesh has entered a critical phase of nutritional risk. Our AI analysis, incorporating 12 months of multi-dimensional data, indicates a systemic deterioration across all key indicators.
Data Analysis
Attendance Patterns
Average attendance across 6 monitored schools has dropped from 72.1% in October 2025 to 58.7% in May 2026 — a decline of 13.4 percentage points. The decline accelerated sharply in April 2026, coinciding with early summer agricultural labor demands.
Meal Participation
Midday meal uptake has fallen to 49.3%, the lowest recorded value in our dataset. This represents a 22.8% decline from the October 2025 peak of 72.1%. Critically, the gap between attendance and meal participation has widened from 3.9% to 9.4%, suggesting that even children who attend school are increasingly skipping meals.
Food Price Impact
The local food price index has risen from 104 (Oct 2025) to 128 (May 2026). Dal, a critical protein source for school meals, has seen the sharpest increase at 24%. This has directly impacted the quality and quantity of midday meals served.
Risk Factors
| Factor | Weight | Score | Contribution |
|--------|--------|-------|--------------|
| Attendance Decline | 30% | 89/100 | 26.7 |
| Meal Participation | 25% | 85/100 | 21.3 |
| Food Inflation | 20% | 78/100 | 15.6 |
| Seasonal Risk | 10% | 82/100 | 8.2 |
| Historical Pattern | 15% | 68/100 | 10.2 |
| **Composite** | **100%** | | **82.0** |
Conclusion
Without immediate intervention, our models predict Shravasti's risk score will exceed 90 within 3 weeks. The convergence of food price inflation, seasonal labor migration, and declining meal quality creates a compounding risk spiral that requires coordinated district, state, and NGO action.